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The Mathematics Enthusiast

Article Title

Flattening the Curve

Volume

18

Issue

1-2

Abstract

We quantify flattening the curve under the assumption of a soft quarantine in the spread of a contagious viral disease in a society. In particular, the maximum daily infection rate is expected to drop by twice the percentage drop in the virus reproduction number. The same percentage drop is expected for the maximum daily hospitalization or fatality rate. A formula for the expected maximum daily fatality rate is given.

First Page

325

Last Page

330

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