Looking at Spacings to Assess Streakiness

Document Type

Presentation Abstract

Presentation Date

9-19-2011

Abstract

There is much interest in studying the hot hand behavior of individuals and teams in sports. We collect success/failure data for each of the hitters in a particular baseball season. We develop a Bayes factor statistic on the spacings to see if players are truly streaky. By looking at the ensemble of test statistics over all players, we see if the pattern of streakiness is more than one would predict from a consistent hitting model. We see that the pattern of streakiness depends on how one defines a success in a plate appearance.

Additional Details

Evening talk

Monday, 19 September 2011
7:00 p.m. in Math 103

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